Prepared June 2026 · Affinity Property Australia
The Burpengary East Growth Report
50% population growth, $1.18M median value — one of SEQ’s most extraordinary emerging suburbs.
$1.18M
Median House Value
+18.0%
12-Month Growth
22 Days
Median Days on Market
$680/w
Median House Rent
Data: Cotality (CoreLogic) · PRD Research · Affinity Property Australia · ABS · EDQ · Domain · realestate.com.au · Report Date: 30 June 2026
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OVERVIEW
Suburb Snapshot
Burpengary East is one of South East Queensland’s most compelling growth stories — a 29.9 km² suburb just 37 km north of Brisbane CBD that recorded an extraordinary 50.1% population surge between 2016 and 2021. With a median house value now at $1.18M, an owner-occupancy rate of 77.9%, and land sales having collapsed from 380 in 2021 to just 17 in 2026, the fundamentals point to a suburb where supply has been exhausted but demand continues to build.
$1.18M
Median VALUE — Houses
↑ 18.0% year-on-year
$750K
Median VALUE — Units
↑ 20.0% year-on-year
22
Median Days on Market
Trending down — was 28 days (Sep 2025)
3.6%
Gross Yield — Houses
Median rent: $680/week
4.0%
Gross Yield — Units
Median rent: $525/week
204
Houses Sold (12 Months)
196 new sale listings
Price Performance
A Decade of Capital Growth
Burpengary East house values have more than doubled since 2017, with the current median value of $1.18M representing a 103% gain from the May 2017 figure of $582,879. The suburb’s growth trajectory is defined by two powerful surges — the 2021–22 post-pandemic boom (+39.6%) and the current 2025–26 resurgence (+18.0%) — with units delivering an even more consistent run of double-digit gains in recent years.
Units
Key insight for sellers: Burpengary East house values have risen 18.0% over the past 12 months, adding approximately $180,000 in median value since May 2025. After a brief correction in 2023 and a flat patch in 2024–25, the suburb has re-accelerated sharply — with the most recent monthly data showing the fastest pace of gains since the 2022 peak. If you purchased before 2023, you are holding very significant equity.
RECENT TREND
12-Month Median Value Trajectory
Monthly median values from June 2025 through May 2026 show an unbroken upward trajectory for both houses and units. House values crossed $1.1M in February 2026 and reached $1.18M by May 2026 — a gain of $175,000 in just 12 months. Unit values have risen steadily from $643K to $750K over the same period.
Units
| Price Quartile | Houses | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Upper Quartile (75th percentile) | $1,375,000 | $620,000 |
| Median (50th percentile) | $1,025,000 | $595,000 |
| Lower Quartile (25th percentile) | $891,500 | $589,000 |
| Gross rental yield | 3.6% | 4.0% |
| Median asking rent (weekly) | $680 | $525 |
| Annual rental growth — houses | +4.6% | — |
| Median days on market | 22 days | — |
Median Price reflects the median of all houses sold over the trailing 12 months; Median Value is Cotality’s point-in-time estimate as at April 2026. The gap reflects strong growth across the period.
Community Profile
Who Lives in Burpengary East?
Burpengary East has one of the highest owner-occupancy rates in the Moreton Bay region at 77.9%, and an above-average proportion of high-income households — with 31% earning over $130K annually, compared to 26.7% for Moreton Bay overall. The suburb’s age profile skews older than the regional average, reflecting an established, long-tenured owner base.
Moreton Bay
Moreton Bay
Market Activity
Supply, Demand & Velocity
Burpengary East is a low-supply, high-value market. New house listings have trended down from 229 in July 2025 to 196 by May 2026 — a 14% reduction — while values continue climbing. Days on market have been falling from a high of 28 days (Sep 2025) to 22 days (Mar 2026), signalling strengthening demand. Land supply has all but evaporated, with just 17 land sales recorded in the 12 months to March 2026.
Why Burpengary East Is Growing
Supply Exhaustion & Premium Demand Drivers
Burpengary East occupies a genuinely rare position in the SEQ market: a suburb with an established, affluent owner base, effectively exhausted land supply, and a median house value that reflects its premium semi-acreage character. The growth story here is less about new development and more about scarcity — with only 17 land sales in 12 months against a backdrop of strong population-driven demand.
📈
Extraordinary Population Growth
Burpengary East’s population grew 50.1% between 2016 and 2021 — from 6,433 to 9,654 residents — one of the fastest growth rates of any suburb in the Moreton Bay region during that period. This rapid inflow was driven by families and couples seeking larger land parcels at a premium price point, establishing a high-income, owner-occupier dominated community that directly supports strong capital values.
🏘
Land Supply Has Effectively Ended
Land sales in Burpengary East collapsed from a peak of 380 in 2021 to just 17 in the 12 months to March 2026 — a 96% reduction. With 572 land parcels remaining in total and new supply near zero, the established housing stock faces virtually no competition from greenfield development. This supply constraint is one of the most powerful long-term price support mechanisms available in a property market.
💰
Above-Average Income Demographics
Burpengary East households significantly outperform the Moreton Bay average at higher income levels — 16.9% earn $130–182K (vs 14.0% regionally) and 14.1% earn $182K+ (vs 12.7% regionally). With a trades-dominant workforce and an owner-occupancy rate of 77.9%, the suburb’s buyer base is well-capitalised, which translates into sustained demand at premium price points and low rates of distressed selling.
🏅
2032 Olympics & SEQ Infrastructure Uplift
Queensland’s $37.4 billion Olympic and Paralympic infrastructure commitment is driving economic activity, employment and population growth across all of South East Queensland. Burpengary East benefits from the broader corridor uplift as workers and families seek premium semi-acreage properties within commutable distance of Brisbane — and with its Bruce Highway access, 37 km location, and Burpengary Station nearby, the suburb sits squarely in the commuter sweet spot.
The scarcity premium: Burpengary East is one of the few suburbs in the Moreton Bay region where the land development cycle is effectively complete. With only 17 land sales recorded in the past year — down from 380 in 2021 — buyers seeking the semi-acreage lifestyle at this price point have almost no new-build alternative. Every sale of an established home is competing against a near-zero new supply pipeline, which is structurally supportive of values for years to come. Queensland’s broader population growth (58,200 new Greater Brisbane residents in 2024–25 alone) continues to drive demand into this constrained market.
Policy Impact
2026 Federal Budget — What It Means for Burpengary East
The 2026 Federal Budget, delivered 12 May 2026, introduced the most significant housing and property tax reforms in decades. Here is what each key measure means for Burpengary East homeowners and sellers specifically.
Negative Gearing Now Law: Restricted to New Builds (from 1 July 2027)
Under legislation passed on 25 June 2026, investors purchasing established residential properties after Budget night (12 May 2026) can no longer offset rental losses against other income from 1 July 2027. Properties purchased before 7:30pm on Budget night (12 May 2026) are grandfathered in full. CBA modelling estimates this could leave prices approximately 3% lower than they otherwise would have been — reducing their national price growth forecast from 5% to 3% for 2026.
For Burpengary East sellers: With a 77.9% owner-occupancy rate, Burpengary East is overwhelmingly an owner-occupier market — investor demand is not the primary price driver here. The change to negative gearing is therefore less impactful than in high-density investment suburbs. Established Burpengary East homes purchased before Budget night retain their full investment appeal, and the near-zero new-build pipeline means investor dollars have very few alternatives in this suburb anyway.
Low Impact — Owner-Occupier Market Largely Insulated
Capital Gains Tax Reform Now Law: 50% Discount Replaced from 1 July 2027
The 50% CGT discount has been replaced by legislation with CPI-adjusted cost base indexation plus a minimum 30% tax rate on real capital gains accruing on or after 1 July 2027. Gains accrued before 1 July 2027 retain the existing discount treatment in full — the change only applies to future gains accumulating from that date. For discretionary trusts, the 30% minimum rate applies from 1 July 2026.
For Burpengary East sellers: This is arguably the most material policy consideration for Burpengary East vendors. With houses having grown from $583K (2017) to $1.18M (2026) — a gain of nearly $600,000 — the tax saving on the 50% CGT discount for those who have held for more than 12 months is very significant. Selling before 1 July 2027 locks in the full discount on all gains accrued to that point. For any investor or executor managing a Burpengary East property, the timing of sale relative to this deadline is a material financial decision.
High Relevance — Consider Sale Timing Before July 2027
First Home Buyer Support Measures
Expanded government guarantee schemes allow eligible first home buyers to purchase with a smaller deposit while avoiding Lenders Mortgage Insurance. The 100,000 Homes for First Home Buyers program and a $2 billion Local Infrastructure Fund were also announced to support new housing supply delivery.
For Burpengary East sellers: At a median house price over the past 12 months of $1.025M, the lower quartile of $891,500 sits within range of well-supported first home buyers — particularly dual-income couples who represent a significant share of Burpengary East’s demographic base. The expansion of guarantee schemes increases the pool of qualified buyers for properties in this price range, supporting competition at the lower and middle tiers of the market.
Positive for Sellers — Expands Buyer Pool at Entry Level
RBA Cash Rate at 4.35% — Three 2026 Hikes
The Reserve Bank hiked the cash rate three times in 2026 (February, March and May), taking it from 3.60% to 4.35% — reversing all three cuts made during 2025. Each 25bp rise reduces average borrowing capacity by approximately $12,000. An average $736,000 loan now costs roughly $360/month more than at the start of 2026. The RBA has signalled a pause at its June meeting to assess the impact of these hikes.
For Burpengary East sellers: Higher rates have moderated borrowing capacity, but Burpengary East’s above-average household income base — with 31% of households earning over $130K — means buyers here are better positioned to absorb rate rises than in many other suburbs. The 22-day median days on market confirms the market is still moving. At the premium end (above $1.375M), rate sensitivity may temper competition, but the mid-market remains active.
Mixed — High-Income Base Provides Rate Resilience
Bottom line for sellers: The CGT discount deadline is the single most important policy consideration for Burpengary East vendors who own an investment property. With nearly $600,000 of capital gain accumulated since 2017 on a median-priced property, the difference in after-tax proceeds between selling before and after 1 July 2027 is material. The current market environment — 18% annual growth, 22-day median days on market, near-zero land supply — gives vendors maximum negotiating leverage right now, before any policy-driven investor softening takes effect.
Forward View
Rental Growth & Market Outlook
Burpengary East’s rental market is tightening, with house rents rising steadily from $650/w to $680/w over the past 12 months — a 4.6% increase — and rental observations trending upward from 314 to 365 across the same period. With land supply exhausted and population growth continuing, both the ownership and rental markets face ongoing demand pressure with limited supply response.
Annual Rental Growth (%)
Upside Factors
Risk Factors to Monitor
Affinity Property Australia · Sean McCreanor · Mob: 0438 115 550 · Ph: 07 3293 9100 · sean@affinityproperty.net.au
Disclaimer: This report has been prepared for informational purposes using publicly available data from Cotality (CoreLogic), HTAG Analytics, Domain, realestate.com.au, the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Economic Development Queensland, the City of Moreton Bay, InTheSuburbs, Borro Finance, and various government and financial sources. Property market data changes rapidly; always verify figures with current sources. The Treasury Laws Amendment (Tax Reform No. 1) Bill 2026 passed both houses of Parliament on 25 June 2026. Supplementary legislation to address small business CGT carve-outs and the co-owner grandfathering issue is expected later in 2026 and may affect some investors. Population forecasts are estimates subject to revision. The Lawnton Pocket Road rezoning is subject to approval and has not been assessed as of this report date. This report does not constitute financial, investment or legal advice. Always consult qualified professionals before making property decisions. Report date: 30 June 2026.