Prepared June 2026 · Affinity Property Australia
The Burpengary Growth Report
Burpengary has broken through $1M — and the data shows the momentum is accelerating.
$1.03M
Median House Value
+19.2%
12-Month Growth
16 Days
Median Days on Market
$630/w
Median House Rent
Data: Cotality (CoreLogic) · PRD Research · Affinity Property Australia · ABS · EDQ · Domain · realestate.com.au · Report Date: 30 June 2026
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OVERVIEW
Suburb Snapshot
Burpengary is a fast-growing family suburb in the City of Moreton Bay, 35 km north of Brisbane CBD. With a population that surged 17.6% between 2016 and 2021, strong infrastructure investment, and house median values that have more than doubled since 2021, Burpengary is firmly on the radar of both owner-occupiers and savvy investors.
$1.03M
Median hOUSE VALUE
↑ 19.2% year-on-year
$666K
Median UNIT VALUE
↑ 20.5% year-on-year
16
Median Days on Market
vs 17 days — Moreton Bay avg
3.7%
Gross Yield — Houses
Median rent: $630/week
4.6%
Gross Yield — Units
Median rent: $510/week
281
Houses Sold (12 Months)
226 new sale listings
Price Performance
A Decade of Capital Growth
Burpengary house values have grown 139% since 2017, accelerating dramatically from 2021. The current median value of $1.03M represents an extraordinary long-run capital growth story — with the suburb having broken through the million-dollar mark in early 2026 for the first time in its history.
Units
Key insight for sellers: Burpengary house values have risen 19.2% over the past 12 months — adding more than $166,000 in median value since April 2025. The median value of $1,033,202 represents a 139% gain from the April 2017 figure of $431,462. If you purchased at any point before 2023, you are sitting on exceptional equity gains. The suburb’s population growth rate of 17.6% — nearly three times the national average — underpins continued demand pressure.
RECENT TREND
12-Month Median Value Trajectory
Monthly median values from May 2025 through April 2026 show a consistent, unbroken climb for both houses and units. Burpengary houses broke through the $1 million barrier in February 2026 and have continued rising — now sitting at $1,033,202.
Units
Moreton Bay
| Price Quartile | Houses | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Upper Quartile (75th percentile) | $1,100,000 | $656,500 |
| Median (50th percentile) | $905,000 | $620,000 |
| Lower Quartile (25th percentile) | $800,000 | $577,500 |
| Gross rental yield | 3.7% | 4.6% |
| Median asking rent (weekly) | $630 | $510 |
| Annual rental growth | +5.0% | +8.5% |
| Median days on market | 16 days | 11 days |
Median Price reflects the median of all houses sold over the trailing 12 months; Median Value is Cotality’s point-in-time estimate as at April 2026. The gap reflects strong growth across the period.
Community Profile
Who Lives in Burpengary?
Burpengary is a predominantly family-oriented suburb with high owner-occupancy, a strong trades workforce, and rapidly growing population. With 42.3% of households being couples with children — above the Moreton Bay average — the suburb attracts stable, long-term residents who hold property for a decade or more.
Moreton Bay
Moreton Bay
Market Activity
Supply, Demand & Velocity
Burpengary is a seller’s market. Houses sell faster than the Moreton Bay regional average, and units are moving in just 11 days — well below the 16-day regional benchmark. New listing volumes remain consistent and healthy, reflecting genuine seller confidence in the market.
Moreton Bay
Why Burpengary Is Growing
Population, Infrastructure & Value Drivers
Burpengary’s growth story is underpinned by a powerful combination of structural demand drivers — rapid population growth, strategic location on the Bruce Highway corridor, improving infrastructure, and a price point that remains compelling relative to inner and middle-ring Brisbane.
📈
Surging Population Growth
Burpengary’s population grew 17.6% between 2016 and 2021 — from 14,022 to 16,488 residents — driven by families priced out of closer-in Brisbane suburbs. The suburb’s location on the Bruce Highway corridor makes it an attractive destination for interstate and intrastate migration, with Queensland continuing to lead the nation in population growth.
🚆
Strategic Location & Connectivity
Positioned 35 km north of Brisbane CBD on the Bruce Highway, Burpengary offers direct rail access via the North Coast Line, making it accessible for commuters. The nearby Morayfield Shopping Centre and surrounding retail precinct provide comprehensive amenity, while the suburb sits at the gateway to the Sunshine Coast — a significant lifestyle advantage.
🏠
Family Demographics & Stability
With 42.3% of households being couples with children — and an average home tenure of 10 years — Burpengary attracts a stable, long-hold owner-occupier base. This demographic profile supports sustained demand, limits distressed selling, and creates a fundamentally sound property market with consistent transactional activity.
🏅
2032 Olympics & SEQ Infrastructure Spend
Queensland’s $37.4 billion Olympic and Paralympic infrastructure program is transforming South East Queensland. Burpengary benefits from the broader economic uplift and population inflows as workers, students and families position themselves across the greater Moreton Bay region ahead of what is shaping as Australia’s most significant infrastructure investment in a generation.
Structural undersupply: Queensland attracted over 25% of Australia’s total population growth between Q1 2020 and Q3 2025, while dwelling completions lagged significantly. Greater Brisbane added 58,200 residents in 2024–25 alone — a 2.1% growth rate second only to Perth nationally. Annual dwelling approvals were 18% below the 240,000-per-year Housing Accord target in early 2026. Burpengary’s 41 land sales in the 12 months to February 2026 — down from a peak of 191 in 2024 — reflects tightening supply of new stock, which is directly supportive of established property values.
Policy Impact
2026 Federal Budget — What It Means for Burpengary
The 2026 Federal Budget, delivered 12 May 2026, introduced the most significant housing and property tax reforms in decades. Here is what each key measure means for Burpengary homeowners and sellers specifically.
Negative Gearing Now Law: Restricted to New Builds (from 1 July 2027)
Under legislation passed on 25 June 2026, investors purchasing established residential properties after Budget night (12 May 2026) can no longer offset rental losses against other income from 1 July 2027. Properties purchased before 7:30pm on Budget night (12 May 2026) are grandfathered in full. CBA modelling estimates this could leave prices approximately 3% lower than they otherwise would have been — reducing their national price growth forecast from 5% to 3% for 2026.
For Burpengary sellers: The grandfathering clause preserves the investment appeal of established Burpengary homes purchased before Budget night. With a rental yield of 3.7% for houses and 4.6% for units, and rental growth running at 5% and 8.5% respectively, Burpengary properties remain attractive to investors. Owner-occupier demand — the dominant force in this family suburb — is well-insulated from any investor softening.
Moderate Impact — Strong Owner-Occupier Base Provides Buffer
Capital Gains Tax Reform Now Law: 50% Discount Replaced from 1 July 2027
The 50% CGT discount has been replaced by legislation with CPI-adjusted cost base indexation plus a minimum 30% tax rate on real capital gains accruing on or after 1 July 2027. Gains accrued before 1 July 2027 retain the existing discount treatment in full — the change only applies to future gains accumulating from that date. For discretionary trusts, the 30% minimum rate applies from 1 July 2026.
For Burpengary sellers: If you hold an investment property and are considering selling, completing the sale before 1 July 2027 locks in the full 50% CGT discount on all gains accrued to that point. With Burpengary house values having risen 139% since 2017, the tax saving on gains crystalised before the deadline could be material. This creates a genuine urgency argument for investor-owners in the current market.
Moderate Impact — Consider Timing of Sale Before July 2027
First Home Buyer Support Measures
Expanded government guarantee schemes allow eligible first home buyers to purchase with a smaller deposit while avoiding Lenders Mortgage Insurance. The 100,000 Homes for First Home Buyers program and a $2 billion Local Infrastructure Fund were also announced to support new housing supply delivery.
For Burpengary sellers: With 64 Burpengary house sales in the $600K–$800K range and 115 in the $800K–$1M range over the past 12 months, these measures directly expand the pool of eligible first-home buyers at Burpengary’s entry price point. A larger and better-supported first-home buyer cohort translates directly into more competitive bidding and stronger vendor outcomes.
Positive for Sellers — Larger Buyer Pool at Entry Level
RBA Cash Rate at 4.35% — Three 2026 Hikes
The Reserve Bank hiked the cash rate three times in 2026 (February, March and May), taking it from 3.60% to 4.35% — reversing all three cuts made during 2025. Each 25bp rise reduces average borrowing capacity by approximately $12,000. An average $736,000 loan now costs roughly $360/month more than at the start of 2026. The RBA has signalled a pause at its June meeting to assess the impact of these hikes.
For Burpengary sellers: Higher rates have moderated buyer borrowing capacity and may soften competition at the upper end of Burpengary’s price range. However, the 16-day median days on market confirms demand remains robust. Burpengary’s predominantly dual-income family demographic is better positioned to absorb rate rises than single-income buyers — a structural advantage for sellers in the current environment.
Mixed — Demand Remains Resilient at Current Price Levels
Bottom line for sellers: The 2026 budget reforms create a clear and narrowing window of opportunity. The CGT discount applies in full to all gains accrued before July 2027, and the negative gearing grandfathering clause preserves Burpengary’s established homes as investment-grade assets for buyers who move before the deadline. Selling in the current environment — with 16-day median days on market, 19.2% annual capital growth in houses, and 20.5% growth in units — gives vendors maximum negotiating leverage before any policy-driven moderation takes hold.
Forward View
Rental Growth & Market Outlook
Burpengary’s rental market is accelerating, with unit rental growth at 8.5% year-on-year — outpacing the Moreton Bay regional average. The combination of continued population growth, tightening land supply, and broader SEQ infrastructure investment keeps the demand outlook firmly positive for both owners and landlords.
Units — Burpengary
Houses — Moreton Bay
Upside Factors
Risk Factors to Monitor
Affinity Property Australia · Sean McCreanor · Mob: 0438 115 550 · Ph: 07 3293 9100 · sean@affinityproperty.net.au
Disclaimer: This report has been prepared for informational purposes using publicly available data from Cotality (CoreLogic), HTAG Analytics, Domain, realestate.com.au, the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Economic Development Queensland, the City of Moreton Bay, InTheSuburbs, Borro Finance, and various government and financial sources. Property market data changes rapidly; always verify figures with current sources. The Treasury Laws Amendment (Tax Reform No. 1) Bill 2026 passed both houses of Parliament on 25 June 2026. Supplementary legislation to address small business CGT carve-outs and the co-owner grandfathering issue is expected later in 2026 and may affect some investors. Population forecasts are estimates subject to revision. The Lawnton Pocket Road rezoning is subject to approval and has not been assessed as of this report date. This report does not constitute financial, investment or legal advice. Always consult qualified professionals before making property decisions. Report date: 30 June 2026.