Prepared June 2026 · Affinity Property Australia
The Dakabin Growth Report
SEQ’s fastest-growing corridor suburb — +49% population in 5 years, +26.5% house value in 12 months.
$1.05M
Median House Value
+26.5%
12-Month Growth
11 Days
Median Days on Market
$620/w
Median House Rent
Data: Cotality (CoreLogic) · PRD Research · Affinity Property Australia · ABS · EDQ · Domain · realestate.com.au · Report Date: 30 June 2026
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OVERVIEW
Suburb Snapshot
Dakabin is a rapidly evolving residential locality in the City of Moreton Bay, approximately 34 km north of Brisbane CBD. It is the fastest-growing suburb in the Moreton Bay corridor — recording 49% population growth between the 2016 and 2021 Census — and is now entering a new phase of urban transformation driven by infrastructure investment, transit-oriented planning and unprecedented capital growth.
$1.05M
Median VALUE — Houses
↑ 26.5% year-on-year (April 2026)
$804K
Median VALUE — Units
↑ 29.2% year-on-year (April 2026)
11
Median Days on Market
Exceptionally fast turnover
3.6%
Gross Yield — Houses
Median rent: $620/week
4.2%
Gross Yield — Units
Median rent: $540/week
90
Houses Sold (12 Months)
71 new sale listings
Price Performance
A Decade of Capital Growth
Dakabin house values have more than doubled since 2021, with the strongest annual growth rate recorded in May 2026 at 26.5%. From a May 2017 median of $458K to $1.05M in May 2026, Dakabin has delivered a 129% total return over nine years — with the acceleration dramatically steepening from 2021 onward.
Units
Key insight for sellers: Dakabin house values have risen 26.5% over the past 12 months — adding approximately $220,000 in median value since May 2025. The current median of $1,050,257 is the highest ever recorded for the suburb. If you purchased at any point before 2023, you are sitting on very significant equity. With only 11 median days on market, well-priced homes in Dakabin are attracting immediate buyer competition.
RECENT TREND
12-Month Median Value Trajectory
Monthly median values from June 2025 through May 2026 show an unbroken upward trajectory for both houses and units. Dakabin houses crossed the $1 million threshold in February 2026 — a landmark moment for a suburb that traded below $500K just five years ago.
Units
Units
| Price Quartile | Houses | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Upper Quartile (75th percentile) | $1,050,000 | $850,000 |
| Median (50th percentile) | $930,000 | $720,000 |
| Lower Quartile (25th percentile) | $802,500 | $630,000 |
| Gross rental yield | 3.6% | 4.2% |
| Median asking rent (weekly) | $620 | $540 |
| Annual rental growth | +6.9% | +1.9% |
| Median days on market | 11 days | 12 days |
Median Price reflects the median of all houses sold over the trailing 12 months; Median Value is Cotality’s point-in-time estimate as at April 2026. The gap reflects strong growth across the period.
Community Profile
Who Lives in Dakabin?
Dakabin is the youngest suburb in the Moreton Bay corridor — with a median age of just 30 and the 20–29 age cohort as its largest demographic group. This profile signals a community in transition: today’s young singles and early couples are tomorrow’s family-oriented owner-occupiers, driving sustained demand through multiple lifecycle stages.
Moreton Bay
Moreton Bay
Market Activity
Supply, Demand & Velocity
Dakabin is firmly a seller’s market. With a median of just 11 days on market for houses and 90 sales in the past 12 months, buyer demand is outpacing available supply. New house listings have remained consistently steady at 68–71 per year, while values have surged — a textbook demand-supply imbalance favouring vendors.
Why Dakabin Is Growing
Once-in-a-Generation Growth Catalysts
Dakabin is at the intersection of three simultaneous and committed planning and infrastructure programs — a combination that is genuinely rare for a suburb at this price point and stage of development. The convergence of transit-oriented density uplift, arterial transformation and population-driven demand creates a compounding growth story unlike most outer-ring suburbs.
🏗
Kallangur-Dakabin Neighbourhood Plan — 75 Dwellings/Ha
The City of Moreton Bay’s endorsed Future Directions Report proposes a minimum density of 75 dwellings per hectare around Dakabin Station — a transit-oriented development standard comparable to established inner-Brisbane precincts. The planning area is projected to absorb 10,400 additional residents by 2041, bringing the combined Kallangur-Dakabin population to approximately 38,000. Once enacted through Planning Scheme amendment, station-precinct land values are expected to reflect this step-change in permitted density.
🛣
Old Gympie Road Upgrade — $142.5M, 4.7 km, 4 Lanes
The $142.5 million, seven-year Old Gympie Road corridor upgrade covers 4.7 km between Boundary Road, Dakabin and Anzac Avenue, Kallangur. The upgrade widens the road from 2 to 4 divided lanes with new intersections, separated cycle tracks, shared paths and improved lighting. Detailed design is being completed in mid-2026, with service relocations commencing late 2026 and road construction to follow. This is a physical transformation of Dakabin’s primary arterial — fundamentally changing the suburb’s commercial and residential character.
🌏
Narangba East RRIA — Future Urban & Employment Land
The 1,020-hectare Narangba East Rural Residential Investigation Area spans parts of Narangba, Burpengary and Dakabin. Phase 2 integrated land use planning is underway in 2026, with Phase 3 to deliver formal Planning Scheme amendments. The study identifies Dakabin’s western portions as potentially suitable for Mixed Industry and Business Area (MIBA) and residential urban uses — creating medium-to-long-term planning uplift for rural-residential landowners in the suburb’s north and west.
🏟
Moreton Bay Central PDA Proximity & Olympic Corridor
Dakabin directly adjoins the Kallangur station precinct of the Moreton Bay Central Priority Development Area — a 15-to-20-year, $950M economic benefit program projecting 6,000 jobs and growing USC Moreton Bay campus toward 10,000 students. The 2032 Olympic Indoor Sports Centre at The Mill, Petrie — under construction 2026–2028 — further elevates the entire corridor’s profile. Dakabin captures the employment and education spillover of this adjacent infrastructure without paying inner-PDA price premiums.
Population momentum: Dakabin’s 49% population growth between the 2016 and 2021 Census is the most powerful demand signal of any suburb in the Moreton Bay corridor. Greater Brisbane added 58,200 residents in 2024–25 alone — a 2.1% growth rate second only to Perth nationally — and Queensland continues to attract over 25% of Australia’s total population inflow. Dakabin’s demographic profile of young adults (20–29 predominant) indicates a suburb on the cusp of family-formation demand — the lifecycle stage that has historically driven the deepest price appreciation in outer-ring Brisbane markets.
Policy Impact
2026 Federal Budget — What It Means for Dakabin
The 2026 Federal Budget, delivered 12 May 2026, introduced the most significant housing and property tax reforms in decades. Dakabin’s unique profile — high renter proportion, elevated building approvals, young demographics and active planning pipeline — means several budget measures interact with the suburb in specific and material ways.
Negative Gearing Now Law: Restricted to New Builds (from 1 July 2027)
Under legislation passed on 25 June 2026, investors purchasing established residential properties after Budget night (12 May 2026) can no longer offset rental losses against other income from 1 July 2027. Properties purchased before 7:30pm on Budget night (12 May 2026) are grandfathered in full. CBA modelling estimates this could leave prices approximately 3% lower than they otherwise would have been — reducing their national price growth forecast from 5% to 3% for 2026.
For Dakabin sellers: Dakabin’s elevated building approvals ratio (noted by HTAG as a market characteristic) means new-build supply will attract ongoing negative gearing access. However, the suburb’s planning-driven density uplift — particularly the 75 dwellings/hectare station precinct — makes new-build product in Dakabin a primary beneficiary of this reform. Grandfathered established homes retain their full investment appeal for buyers who moved pre-Budget. For owners of post-2026 established stock, owner-occupier demand remains the primary market driver.
Moderate Impact — New Builds Favoured; Established Homes Grandfathered
Capital Gains Tax Reform Now Law: 50% Discount Replaced from 1 July 2027
The 50% CGT discount has been replaced by legislation with CPI-adjusted cost base indexation plus a minimum 30% tax rate on real capital gains accruing on or after 1 July 2027. Gains accrued before 1 July 2027 retain the existing discount treatment in full — the change only applies to future gains accumulating from that date. For discretionary trusts, the 30% minimum rate applies from 1 July 2026.
For Dakabin sellers: At 26.5% annual capital growth, Dakabin properties are accruing substantial taxable gains. At the current median of ~$1.05M with 26.5% annual growth, the annual capital gain of approximately $100K–$220K makes the CGT timing decision financially material. Selling before 1 July 2027 locks in the full 50% CGT discount on all gains accumulated to that point. Additionally, the Neighbourhood Plan’s station-precinct density uplift — if enacted — may generate planning-related capital gains for new property investors that are treated identically under the new CGT regime.
Significant — Consider Timing of Sale Before July 2027
First Home Buyer Support — Perfect Demographic Alignment
Expanded government guarantee schemes allow eligible first home buyers to purchase with a smaller deposit while avoiding Lenders Mortgage Insurance. The 100,000 Homes for First Home Buyers program targets new residential supply, and a $2 billion Local Infrastructure Fund supports new housing delivery.
For Dakabin sellers: With a median age of 30 and the 20–29 age group as its largest demographic cohort, Dakabin is home to precisely the population the first home buyer support measures are designed to assist. This demographic tailwind directly expands the active buyer pool for Dakabin properties — particularly in the $800K–$930K range where the majority of Dakabin house transactions have occured over the past 12 months. A larger, government-supported first home buyer cohort at these price points directly supports vendor outcomes.
Highly Positive for Sellers — Ideal Demographic Alignment
Bruce Highway Stage 2 — $812.5M Commitment & RBA at 4.35%
The 2026–27 Federal Budget commits $812.5 million to Bruce Highway Stage 2 (North Lakes to Dohles Rocks Road) — directly relevant to Dakabin as a suburb with the Bruce Highway forming its eastern boundary. Meanwhile, the RBA hiked the cash rate three times in 2026 (February, March and May), taking it from 3.60% to 4.35% — with a June pause signalled.
For Dakabin: The highway investment will reduce congestion for Dakabin residents using the M1 south, supporting the suburb’s appeal for commuters. On rates: Dakabin households carry the highest mortgage-to-income ratio in the north Brisbane corridor (23.73% per HTAG). The RBA pause provides welcome relief, though any resumption of hikes would disproportionately affect Dakabin buyers. At 11 days median days on market, demand clearly remains robust at current rate levels.
Mixed — Highway a Positive; Rate Sensitivity Highest in Series
Bottom line for sellers: The 2026 budget reforms create a narrowing window of maximum advantage. The full 50% CGT discount applies to all gains accrued before July 2027, first home buyer support directly expands Dakabin’s natural buyer pool, and the negative gearing grandfathering clause preserves the investment appeal of established Dakabin homes for buyers who have already moved. Selling in the current environment — with 11-day median days on market, 26.5% annual capital growth and a once-in-a-suburb-generation infrastructure transformation underway — gives vendors the maximum possible leverage before any policy-driven softening takes hold.
Forward View
Rental Growth & Market Outlook
Dakabin’s house rental market is accelerating, with median weekly rent rising from $575/w in October 2025 to $620/w by May 2026 — a 7.7% uplift in seven months. Rental observations have climbed to 107 annually, reflecting genuine and growing tenant demand from the suburb’s young, growing population base.
Units — Dakabin
Upside Factors
Risk Factors to Monitor
Affinity Property Australia · Sean McCreanor · Mob: 0438 115 550 · Ph: 07 3293 9100 · sean@affinityproperty.net.au
Disclaimer: This report has been prepared for informational purposes using publicly available data from Cotality (CoreLogic), HTAG Analytics, Domain, realestate.com.au, the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Economic Development Queensland, the City of Moreton Bay, InTheSuburbs, Borro Finance, and various government and financial sources. Property market data changes rapidly; always verify figures with current sources. The Treasury Laws Amendment (Tax Reform No. 1) Bill 2026 passed both houses of Parliament on 25 June 2026. Supplementary legislation to address small business CGT carve-outs and the co-owner grandfathering issue is expected later in 2026 and may affect some investors. Population forecasts are estimates subject to revision. The Lawnton Pocket Road rezoning is subject to approval and has not been assessed as of this report date. This report does not constitute financial, investment or legal advice. Always consult qualified professionals before making property decisions. Report date: 30 June 2026.